DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Targets & Picks – 2016 Tour Championship
The end of the 2015-2016 PGA Tour Season comes at the Par 70, nearly 7,400 yard East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta with the Tour Championship. There are only 30 players playing in this event, and there is no cut. With only 30 players, I’m deciding to write just one article this week.
As far as game selection goes, I will be limiting how much I play since it’s a short field, with a lot of duplicate lineups going to be out there. Also, this is a week that you probably will want to leave salary on the table, to try and limit the number of lineups that are similar to yours. To take down a tournament, you will have to have the winner, most of the top 5, and everyone else in the top 10. Onto the final picks of this season:
Dustin Johnson (11,700)
DJ comes in with good form, winning the BMW Championship in his last start, and was 8th at the Deutsche Bank the week before. He’s also in the best spot to win the FedEx Cup, with a win or plenty of other scenarios as long as 2-5 in the standings don’t win. DJ has 3 straight top 10s in Atlanta and has the length to succeed here. DJ has arguably been the best player all year, and a win would definitely seal up the Player of the Year award. He’s expensive, but looks like a great play.
Jordan Spieth (10,600)
One of the odd things about this event is that we see top players at the lowest salaries we may have seen them at all year. Spieth is cheaper than we have seen him all year, and has the form and history I like to see this week. Spieth has made the cut in all 3 Playoff events, with 2 top 10s during the Playoffs. The defending FedEx Cup Champ, Spieth finished 2nd here as well back in 2013, with a disappointing 27th in 2014 in between. Spieth needs a win and some help to win the FedEx Cup, and while he may have had a “disappointing” season by his standards, it wouldn’t surprise me to see him repeat come Sunday night.
Paul Casey (9,500)
Casey is the one who has played himself into a top 5 spot by finishing runner-up in the last 2 Playoff events. Casey has only played East Lake twice, finishing 4th and 5th. Outside of Adam Scott (4th in each of the first 3 playoff events), no player has been better on tour. This wouldn’t quite be a Billy Horschel story of coming out of nowhere to win, but Casey would be a surprise winner, and makes for a good 2nd golfer in lineups this week.
Patrick Reed (9,000)
Here is the past 9 events for Reed on Tour this season: 8 top 15 finishes (other one was a 22nd), a win, and 2 other Top 10 finishes. Reed is 2nd in the FedEx Cup Standings, but finds himself as the 7th highest priced golfer this week. Reed may be this cheap due to a 19th and 27th in his 2 starts at East Lake, but I feel that if DJ isn’t winning this tournament, Reed is the guy who will. He’s long enough to suit this course and with 9 consecutive tournaments of being under par, Reed has the scoring ability to win everything come Sunday.
Bubba Watson (8,400)
If you like choosing golfers with a narrative, Watson is your guy this week. Bubba was not one of the first 3 Captain’s Picks for the Ryder Cup, and should be motivated to play well and make Davis Love III choose him for the Ryder Cup. Bubba missed his only cut of the season at the Deutsche Bank, but was top 20 in both of the other playoff events. He has also finished 5th in two of his past three trips to East Lake. He has a real long shot chance to win the FedEx Cup, but I think the Ryder Cup motivation will be his main goal this week.
Roberto Castro (7,300)
In a week where we are seeing players at lower prices than we have all year, it’s weird to see one that is higher than we’ve seen in recent weeks. Castro got to the Tour Championship by finishing 3rd at the BMW Championship. He needed a top 4 or 5 finish to get here, and outside of some struggles on Saturday, played great at Crooked Stick. Castro did go Georgia Tech, if you like to play the local angle. He has made a lot of cuts since May, only missing at the Barclays to start the Playoffs. In his only other trip to East Lake, Castro finished 9th in 2013. I would gladly take a top 10 from him at this price, but he’s in good form and maybe has some extra motivation playing in front of a local crowd.
Ryan Moore (6,800)
Moore struggled at the BMW, finishing 64th. Prior to that though, he won the John Deere, and had 2 top 10 finishes in the first 2 playoff events. Moore has played here twice, finishing 3rd and 9th in those events. His form is a little sporadic, but with 3 top 10s in his past 5 starts, and a couple of top 10s here, he gives you some nice upside at the price, and may be a little bit lower owned after a disappointing BMW.