DraftKings PGA DFS GPP Lineup Targets & Picks – John Deere Classic
Since I have written the cash game article, DraftKings has come out with a couple more tournaments for the John Deere Classic. I still would reserve spots as soon as you can, since the first set filled up quickly, and I don’t know how quickly the 2nd one will fill up.
The John Deere Classic is played at the TPC at Deere Run in Silvis, IL. You will see lots and lots of birdies, as scores around 20 under will win this event. With there not being many big names in this field, you will have to take some chances on golfers in order to win. Tom Gillis came out of nowhere to finish runner-up here last year, so values can be found. However, I’m going to start with a stalwart at this event, who is priced at one of the highest prices I have seen all year for a golfer.
Zach Johnson (13,000)
The price is the only reason he is a GPP play. Johnson is from Iowa, and is actually on the board of the John Deere Classic. Starting in 2009, Johnson has 6 top 3 finishes, which includes one win, and his worst finish is a 21st in 2010. This is why Johnson is 13,000, but is probably worth every penny.
Johnson is 16/19 in made cuts, with 4 top 10s, and no missed cuts in his past 10 tournaments. Johnson is 18th in Scoring Average and 34th in Total Strokes Gained. If you’re using 26% of your budget on one player, you want to make sure he’s going to be in the top 5. ZJ has 5 of them in a row here and I don’t see any reason why he won’t be again this year.
Wesley Bryan (9,700)
Bryan is making his debut as a member of the PGA Tour, after earning the Battlefield Promotion. This happens when someone on the web.com Tour wins 3 events in a year. Bryan is now exempt for the remainder of this season and all of the 2016-2017 season.
Why I think he makes a great tournament play is that this field is not all that strong, and the scoring is low, just like many of the web.com Tour events. Though there are much better golfers in the field, Bryan is use to attacking pins and scoring. He average nearly 5 birdies a round in the web.com Tour, so he should be able to score here. Check his price if you play on other sites, as I have seen him at minimum price on at least one site. At this price, many will ignore him, but has top 10 upside.
John Senden (8,400)
Senden has some inconsistency in his game, which will put him as a tournament play most weeks. He’s 16 of 25 in making cuts this season. He missed the cut at the Barbasol but was 18th at the PGA Championship. Senden won here in 2006, and then followed that up with 3 straight missed cuts. He then finished 12th in 2010 and 4th in 2012. His results have been varied, but if he can make the cut, he will contend.
Senden is 23rd in Greens in Regulation, 27th in Strokes Gained Putting, and 53rd in Birdie Average and Scoring Average. Making 3 cuts in a row, being a defending champion, and good course history, Senden makes for a high upside play this week.
Adam Hadwin (7,500)
Hadwin sunk one of my teams last week, when he missed the cut by one stroke. However, having a short memory is what you need in DFS. He has made 16 of 23 cuts with 8 of his past 10. This is Hadwin’s 2nd appearance at the John Deere with an 18th in his debut performance last year.
Hadwin is 12th in Strokes Gained Putting, 30th in Birdie Average, and 66th in Total Strokes Gained. He’s one of the better values here at 7500, and while he only has one top 10 on the year, I would be fine with another 18th place finish. If he makes birdies like he has been all year, he should be a high scorer in this event.
Vaughn Taylor (6,900)
Taylor was a surprise winner at Pebble Beach earlier this year and struggled to make cuts after that win. But, he’s made 4 in a row now, including a 33rd at the PGA Championship. In his past 7 appearances at the John Deere, he has made 5 cuts, including a 6th and a 12th.
Taylor is 62nd in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, 66th in Birdie Average, and 15th in Strokes Gained Approaching the Green. Do I think he will be a top 10 player this week? No. But, can he be Top 30 with some potential do better? Yes. He’s played well as of late and played well here, and is a fine value play.
Luke Guthrie (6,900)
Guthrie will consider this his home tournament on tour, as he grew up a couple hours south of the Quad Cities and went to the University of Illinois. He’s ¾ in making cuts here, with a 14th last year, 27th in 2014, and 5th in 2012. On tour, he’s made 8 of 16 cuts, and is sitting outside the top 150 in FedEx Cup Points. He will need a solid showing this week to try and find his way into the playoffs.
Guthrie can Putt, as he’s 18th in Strokes Gained Putting and 60th in Birdie Average. If he can get the ball on the green, he should be alright and could put up good point totals. I like taking local players in these events, and with a decent course history, Guthrie should be able to contend.