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Analyzing The NBA Trade Deadline – DFS Fallout for FanDuel & DraftKings

The NBA Trade deadline has come and gone, leaving us with players on new teams, in new roles all over “The Association.” In the DFS world this can change the way we view any number of players.

Here is a breakdown of whose value was effected and how.

Stock Up

Stock Down

Unchanged

Players Acquired: D.J. Augustin, Steve Novak

Players Lost: Randy Foye

Rookie PG Emmanuel Mudiay has been playing heavy minutes with no Jameer Nelson to back him up. Nelson will remain out for the time being, which is where Augustin comes in. He was DFS irrelevant in OKC and will likely get an uptick in Denver, with more minutes in a back-up point guard role and possibly some minutes at the 2 guard. However he remains DFS irrelevant, until we see otherwise.

Players Acquired: Randy Foye

Players Lost: D.J. Augustin, Steve Novak

Foye will fill a reserve guard role in OKC like he did in Denver. His minutes should see a downgrade considering he is going to a better roster. He will be given a chance to prove himself as a weapon off of the bench, but this is an initial downgrade to his value just because he leaves secured minutes behind in Denver. We will have to wait and see if he can crack the OKC rotation.

Players Acquired: Channing Frye

Players Lost: Anderson Varejao

Frye joins a better roster but is a good fit in Cleveland’s offense. He will be designated with spot up shooting duties, but his minutes will unlikely make him DFS relevant. He does get an uptick because he was losing minutes rapidly in Orlando, but not enough to put him in play at this point. I would expect him to fill the 8th or 9th man role and his presence does eat into Timofey Mozgov‘s minutes. The good news is he should get plenty of open shots, when he does get time on the floor.

Players Acquired: Anderson Varejao, Brian Roberts

Players Lost:

Anderson Varejao will likely be released by the Blazers.

Brian Roberts provides some depth at the point guard position behind Damian Lillard. However, Portland mostly uses starting shooting guard CJ McCollum at point Guard, when Lillard is resting. Roberts could find himself getting some minutes in a Blazer’s back court that doesn’t have a lot of primary ball handlers. His value remains unchanged until we see how he is used.

Players Acquired: Jared Cunningham, Brandon Jennings, Ersan Ilyasova

Players Lost: Channing Frye, Tobias Harris

Jared Cunningham will likely be released by the Magic.

Head Coach Scott Skiles has stated that he will use both Ilyasova and Jennings off of the bench. This is a downgrade for Ilyasova who was a fixture in Detroit’s starting lineup. We will have to wait and see what kind of bench role he can carve out for himself before he is DFS relevant again.

With Jameer Nelson still on the shelf, Jennings should get back-up point guard minutes behind Elfrid Payton. Payton is young and Jennings is immensely talented. Look for Jennings to eat into some of Payton’s minutes and possibly see additional time at the 2, playing next to him. This move gives Jennings an uptick in value with the potential for more. Payton may lose a couple of minutes to Jennings, giving him a slight downgrade.

Players Acquired: Markieff Morris

Players Lost: Kris Humphries, DeJuan Blair

Morris had been fantastic in the month of February, averaging 20.6 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game. He should move into the starting power forward spot with the Wizards, and benefit from playing alongside John Wall. He gets an uptick, because he is in a better situation with his minutes eventually solidified. Depending on how many shots he puts up nightly, his presence could downgrade Otto Porter‘s value. Time will tell with that, but it’s certainly a situation to keep your eye on.

Players Acquired: Kris Humphries, DeJuan Blair

Players Lost: Markieff Morriss

DeJuan Blair is likely to be waived in the coming days after being traded to Phoenix. However, Kris Humphries played 27 minutes in his first game with Suns, scoring 18 points and pulling down 12 rebounds, in his role off of the bench. Alex Len sat out and Tyson Chandler only logged 8 minutes before he left with a shoulder injury. When everyone is healthy in the Phoenix front court, Humphries won’t see those type of minutes, but he will likely get more minutes nightly than he was in Washington, so this is an upgrade for him.

When healthy, Alex Len, Mirza Teletovic, Tyson Chandler and potentially Jon Leuer all should see an uptick with Morris gone and Humphries less likely to play as large as of a role as Morris had over the last month. Teletovic gets the most significant upgrade of the bunch though as they will be in search of offense and he can provide it.

Players Acquired: Tobias Harris, Marcus Thornton, Donatas Motiejunas

Players Lost:  Joel Anthony, Brandon Jennings, Ersan Ilyasova

Tobias Harris will eventually slide into the starting power forward spot for Detroit, however Head Coach Stan Van Gundy has stated that he will start Anthony Tolliver there for the first three games after the All-Star break. Harris should get an uptick in value as Van Gundy’s rotations are rock solid, and he is known to play his starters big minutes; The opposite of his Former Coach Scott Skiles.

Motiejunas leaves a very crowded front court in Houston to join the Pistons. The Detroit front court isn’t wide open by any means but Van Gundy actively targeted him. He gets an uptick in value as he will likely get minutes off of the Detroit bench but nothing significant, until I see otherwise, he remains unplayable for me.

Marcus Thornton will fall into place behind Kentavious Caldwell-Pope as a reserve shooting guard. Caldwell-Pope plays heavy minutes for Van Gundy, so while Thornton will get some bench minutes, I don’t expect them to be significant enough to give him an upgrade. Thornton can always catch fire, which keeps him on the floor when he does, but that’s how he was used in Houston as well. I think Thornton’s value remains the same until we see otherwise.

It will be interesting to see what happens to the starting lineup once Harris moves in. Van Gundy alluded to the idea that it could prompt other changes. We know they are high on Stanley Johnson and with Harris and Morris on the floor together, it leaves their roles somewhat undefined, considering their similar size and style of play. Johnson could find himself starting at the 3 when the time comes.

For the time being, Stanley Johnson’s role remains the same. Steve Blake gets a nice upgrade to back-up point guard, in the absence of Jennings. Tolliver’s role remains the same until we see how Van Gundy will use Montiejunas. Darrun Hilliard, who had been getting some minutes, may lose them to Thornton.

This move solidifies PG Reggie Jackson‘s minutes, who was getting pushed by Jennings. He gets a bump in minutes, back to 32 plus, where he was before Jennings came back from injury.

Players Acquired: Joel Anthony

Philadelphia will likely buy-out Anthony’s contract and let him go.

Players Acquired: Jeff Green

Players Lost: Lance Stephenson

Green gets an uptick in value for the short-term and likely the long-term as well. He will fill in at power forward while Blake Griffin remains on the shelf and, I would expect him to then slide over to the starting 3 spot when Griffin returns, sending Luc Mbah a Moute to the bench. Head Coach Doc Rivers has an affinity for Green as he coached him in Boston as well. This move gets Green out of the mess of wing players in Memphis, and should lock him into solidified starter’s minutes in L.A. Look for his value to rise, with his price soon to follow.

The presence of Green downgrades Mbah a Moute, Paul Pierce and Wesley Johnson‘s value.

Players Acquired: Lance Stephenson, Chris Anderson, P.J. Hairston

Players Lost: Courtney Lee

Lance Stephenson remains virtually irrelevant in DFS terms.

P.J. Hairston was starting in Charlotte but did not play starter’s minutes and wasn’t playable. It is yet to be determined what role he will take on in Memphis, but he fits into their style of play, as he is good wing defender. He may not start in Memphis, but will likely play similar minutes in a similar role. His value remains unchanged until we see otherwise.

Chris “Birdman” Anderson gets a bump in value while Marc Gasol is on the shelf. I don’t think it will be enough to make him playable though.

Mario Chalmers should see a nice uptick in value with Lee gone. His role should expand, getting some minutes at the 2, playing alongside Mike Conley at times. Conley also should see a nice boost in usage with Green and Lee gone. Matt Barnes and Tony Allen also get value bumps with Green no longer there.

Players Acquired: Courtney Lee

Players Lost: Brian Roberts, P.J. Hairston

Lee played heavy minutes as the Grizzlies starting shooting guard. He may fill into the starting shooting guard spot with the Hornets, but it is unlikely he see’s the same kind of minutes with the presence of Jeremy Lin looming. On the other hand, the Hornets do play at a much faster pace than Memphis, so he may get similar shot attempts in Charlotte. At this point, Lee’s value remains unchanged until we see how he is used.

Players Acquired: Brian Roberts

Players Lost: Chris Anderson, Jarnell Stokes

The Heat traded Brian Roberts to the Trailblazers.

Players Acquired: Shelvin Mack

Players Lost: None

Shelvin Mack joins a Jazz team that is in dire need of some improved point guard play. He will get an opportunity to earn significant minutes or maybe even supplant Raul Neto from the starting point guard spot. Mack’s value could rise significantly depending on how well he plays. His presence downgrades the value of both Raul Neto and Trey Burke.

Players Acquired: Kirk Hinrich

Players Lost: Shelvin Mack

Hinrich will likely fill into the departed Mack’s role, and take on his minutes, which weren’t abundant, as there are two point guards ahead of him in Dennis Schroeder and Jeff Teague. His value wasn’t of DFS relevance in Chicago and won’t be in Atlanta either.

About Brad Ward

Brad Ward, 33 years old, lives in Akron, Ohio with his wife and son. Brad has been playing fantasy sports since he was 18 and has found his passion in the daily fantasy sports game. Brad' 2015 performance playing DFS has helped him add a nice chunk of change to the family piggy bank. He has written for multiple sports sites and is now using his DFS expertise to write for Moxyball.

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