WIN YOUR GPPS! Week 8 GPP Picks & Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings & Yahoo! NFL DFS Tournaments
Helping you win your weekly GPP contests on FanDuel, DraftKings & Yahoo! for the 2016-2017 NFL DFS Season.
Daily fantasy provider means everything when ranking and analyzing players. Two players highlighted in this piece were featured earlier in the week in the Cash Games Building Blocks piece, but due to salary and roster format differences between sites, they stand out as GPP pivots at a different provider. One team provides three of this week’s GPP pivots, and they’ve yet to win a game!
Terrelle Pryor Sr. – WR – Browns – $6,100 – Vs Jets
Good news at the quarterback position for the Browns means good news for the pass catchers, starting with TP. All signs point to Josh McCown starting this week. In McCown’s lone start of the year, Pryor caught only three passes for 32 yards, but he was targeted a team-leading 10 times! The veteran signal caller is not shy about airing it out and letting his receivers make a play. A repeat of double-digit targets should lead to big things against the laughably bad secondary of the Jets. Football Outsiders (FO) ranks the Jets 31st defending the pass. They’ve ceded the third most DraftKings points per game to receivers this year. As a cherry on top, Pro Football Focus (PFF) projects Pryor to draw Darrelle Revis in coverage in base sets and 3-receiver formations. Revis ranks 83rd among qualified corners this year, per PFF. He’s been hot garbage this year, and should Pryor move around and see other members of the secondary, he should meet little resistance against them as well. Buster Skrine ranks 89th among qualified corners and Marcus Williams ranks 50th at the position. The former quarterback has a dreamy combination of size (6-foot-4 and 223 pounds) and speed, and he leads the Browns across the board in all notable receiving categories.
Gary Barnidge – TE – Browns – $3,300 – Vs Jets
The Jets aren’t only giving to receivers, and the news of McCown’s return isn’t just a positive for Pryor, either. The Jets have allowed the ninth most DraftKings points per game to tight ends, and FO ranks them 20th defending the position. Barnidge isn’t matching last year’s breakout, but he’s averaging 51.6 yards receiving per game on 4.29 receptions per game. That’s not a bad follow up, and it’s come with five different quarterbacks and six players throwing passes for the Browns this year if you include Pryor’s nine attempts. Excluding McCown’s injury-shortened opener last year, Barnidge totaled at least 75 yards receiving in five of seven games, and he reeled in a combined three touchdown grabs in the two contests he fell short of the 75-yard threshold. In short, Barnidge balled out when McCown started for the Browns last year. Pryor represents a better receiver than he battled for looks with last year when McCown started, but there’s enough football to go around to both pass catchers in a cushy matchup. As an added bonus of stacking McCown with the duo of Pryor and Barnidge, the salary relief they’ll provide will allow you to load up on pricey, chalky studs around them.
Josh McCown – QB – Browns – $6,400 – Vs Jets
Make it three Browns getting some love in a row to open this piece. I discussed McCown earlier in the week as a cash games building block at FantasyAces as well as teammate Cody Kessler before it became more clear McCown should be the starter this weekend. I dove into how cushy the matchup with the Jets was in that piece, so I won’t rehash that. What I will point out is that in seven games he played and didn’t leave early due to injury last year, he surpassed 300 yards three times and tossed multiple touchdown passes five times. He tossed two touchdown passes in his lone start earlier this year. He’s a strong bet to hit value, but I’m touting him because the upside extends well beyond that.His ownership rate should be much lower at a single-QB site like FanDuel than at two-QB FantasyAces. Stacking him with either Pryor or Barnidge (or both) will free up tons of cash to spread across the rest of your roster.
Rob Gronkowski – TE – Patriots – $8,100 – @ Bills
Here’s another player who I touted in the Cash Games Building Blocks. He’s not underpriced at FanDuel like he is at Yahoo!, and budgeting for him is strictly a GPP move. It’s a worthy GPP move with his recent run of success and historically good track record of work with Tom Brady. In Brady’s three starts this year, Gronk has ripped off 5.33 receptions and 121.3 yards receiving per game while adding two scores through the air. He’s simply the best tight end in the game, and perhaps the best player at the position in the history of the game. The Bills rank just 23rd defending tight ends this year, per FO, so don’t expect them to keep him in check. Chalk his poor showing against them earlier in the month as a blip on the radar that’s likely the product of him being less than 100% at the time and playing with a rookie signal caller as opposed to Tom Terrific.
Yahoo! (Y!) and FantasyAces (FA)
(Y!) Jimmy Graham – TE – Seahawks – $22 – @ Saints
This pick might not be a super low owned one, but his proximity in price to Gronk should take a bite out of his ownership rate. Gamers and fantasy pundits are rightly in love with Russell Wilson this week, and the matchup is perfect for a big game from explosive runner Christine Michael, but Graham deserves love, too. Among tight ends, he ranks tied for 8th in receptions (27), tied for seventh in targets (41) and second in receiving yards (408). Those ranks are despite a slow start in which he caught only four passes for 53 yards through the first two weeks of the season. He’s caught five or more passes in four straight games, reached or bested 100 yards twice and surpassed 50 yards receiving in four games in a row. The Seahawks are 2.5-point favorites on the road, per Pinnacle Sports, and the game’s over/under total of 48 points is fantasy friendly. The Saints rank in the middle of the pack in terms of fantasy points allowed per game to tight ends, but FO is less impressed with their work and ranks them 26th defending the position.
(FA) Drew Brees – QB – Saints – $7,600 – Vs Seahawks
FO ranks the Seahawks third in overall defense and fifth in pass defense. They’re allowing the ninth fewest passing yards per game (226.0) and have surrendered just four passing touchdowns in six games. They’re tough. They’ll scare a number of gamers away, and so will Brees’ salary that’s highest in the FantasyAces player pool for Week 8. Obviously there are reasons for optimism about Brees posting a big fantasy point total or I wouldn’t tout him. For starters, the game’s over/under total is 48 points. The game is in New Orleans, too, which is a big deal. Brees has been much better in home starts than on the road in recent seasons and throughout his 11-year stint as the starting quarterback for the Saints. In 2014, he averaged 311.3 yards passing per game while completing 69.12% of his passes and spinning 16 touchdowns with nine interceptions. Last year, he kicked his yardage up to 356.6 per game, completed 74.40% of his passes and threw 17 touchdowns and three picks in seven games. This year, he’s averaging 421.3 yards passing per game, completed 67.59% of his passes and thrown 11 touchdowns with two interceptions in three home starts. He’s damn near an unstoppable force at home. His scoring upside is immense, and stacking both sides of this contest and rooting for a shootout is a very viable strategy.