We break down our top plays and analysis for the Playoff MLB DFS slate on FanDuel and DraftKings (October 11, 2016). Focusing on pitchers, hitters and strategy to help you win your MLB DFS contests for the slate.
With the 2016 MLB Regular Season in the books, it’s time for us to turn to the Playoffs and continue our MLB DFS talk.
FanDuel and DraftKings have some great contests (GPPs in particular) to take part in to continue battling it out on the diamond to win some DFS cash, and the Fantasy Cruncher team is here to help you do just that.
We shared a number of different columns with you every single day of the MLB season. The Pitching Rundown, Hitting Rundown, Cheat Sheet and Starting 5 are being condensed into a “one stop shop” article throughout the Playoffs.
I’ll be taking the lead on this column, going into the starters taking the mound for their respective clubs for each slate, and will provide some insight into the hitters/stacks to target as well.
With the slates being condensed thanks to a much smaller group of games at this point, we highly recommend that you focus your bankroll on GPPs if you’re into tournaments – or sitting back and relaxing until April if you’re a cash game baseball player.
We had a full Monday slate with 3 games. The Cleveland/Boston game did not end up being the path to a big payday, as the LAD/WAS and SF/CHC both ended with higher overall outputs.
The starters have (finally) been announced for all of today’s games, so let’s dive right in to how we recommend attacking the slate.
Games on the Slate
Los Angeles (-265) vs Washington (+220); Over/Under = 6.5 Runs
San Francisco (+113) vs Chicago (-122); Over/Under = 7.5 Runs
High Level Strategic Thoughts
This will be a fairly typical 2-game slate, where you are going to need to pick the right hitters (and pretty much every single one of them that produce in a significant way) and couple them with the right arm(s) to find your way to cashing in GPPs. Again, this is not a day that I would play cash games – a little dabbling into tournaments can’t hurt if you want a little skin in the game, though.
You are likely best to play the multiple lineup strategy today, choosing the top 1 or 2 pitchers you like and coupling them with different combinations of bats.
Analyzing the Arms
I have to be honest here. I am pretty surprised that the Dodgers are going with Clayton Kershaw on short rest. I thought Julio Urias would get the nod here, but part of me can’t blame them for making the call that they did. Wouldn’t you want your stud on the mound in a must-win scenario, even if that means he’s making the start one day before his regular scheduled rest?
Well, he’s a heavy favorite today (-265) and is only $9,800 on FD. That makes him only $600 more expensive than what it is going to take to roster John Lackey on FD ($9,200) and pretty much a shoe-in to be the top-owned arm on FD by a wide margin. I’m expecting 60%+ ownership of Kershaw on FD, followed by Lackey at probably somewhere in the 17-25% range. That actually makes Lackey a very intriguing pivot considering the potential for Kershaw to not see his numbers at the typical elite level that we’re used to seeing from him on most days.