Daily NBA Fantasy Basketball Picks, Tips and Advice for November 20, 2014 (11/20) | DFS NBA Basketball player picks, advice, strategy & lineup tips for Nov 20, 14 to help set your lineup and win your FanDuel, DraftKings or Draftster league or contest!
Another great night for our hero lineup in FanDuel fantasy basketball 50-50 contests (11/19). The team managed to put up 279.6 points which was enough to finish in the top 80-90% of all 50-50s we entered. We also managed to bring home winnings in a couple of double-ups and triple-ups due to the strength of the team’s performance. Kyrie Irving (31.8), Monta Ellis (39.2), Eric Bledsoe (34.2), Tobias Harris (32.1), Jared Sullinger (38.8) and Tim Duncan (37.5) all had very strong games, helping offset the 9.2 points from Steven Adams, who we thought was a good value play heading in to the game.
On the other side of the coin, Dwight Howard being a last-minute scratch after lineups locked hurt our second lineup, not to mention J.J. Redick and Tim Hardaway Jr having very poor games. Good thing we went nice and light on that one, which is exactly what the doctor ordered based on our advice in yesterday’s piece.
With only 2 games on the NBA calendar tonight, we’re going to be playing a very small percentage of our bankroll. As our Twitter buddy @Johnny_Volk mentioned last night, a 2-game set will make for an interesting one as there’s a decent shot you can luck your way into a tournament win due to the lack of lineup construction options… which is one school of thought for how to approach a day like today.
@jaredsgotmoxy 2mmrw will be interesting with just 2 games! Thinking it should be “easier” to win a tourney w/ less chance for lucky winners
— Johnny Volk (@Johnny_Volk) November 20, 2014
Johnny is definitely a glass is half full kind of guy, which I appreciate very much being a positive thinker myself! From my side of things, I see a night like this and tend to shy away from betting big – simply due to the fact that the margin for error is technically a lot smaller due to the lack of player options on the table. If you don’t start Kirk Hinrich and he goes off for 30 FDP – chances are you’re not going to be able to make it into the money, for example. But if you do happen to be the guy who put him in your lineup – you are sitting pretty.
The strategy I’ll leave you with to consider today is this: Build a lineup you feel most confident in, and lock in the 5-7 players you think are must-starts given their respective matchups. Tinker with different combinations across a couple of leagues (or tournaments, which is the way to make bigger bucks today if you like the player values) for the other 2-4 players you aren’t labeling as the must-start options.
With all that being said, here’s a lineup that we have built to toss into the mix for tonight’s games. Again – we’re keeping it light with how we’re going at it from a bankroll perspective, but we’ll never take a night off DFS altogether because, who are we kidding, we just love it so darn much.
The Moxyball FanDuel Lineup for November 20, 2014
PG1: Chris Paul, $10,100
PG2: Mario Chalmers, $5,300
SG1: Jimmy Butler, $7,700
SG2: Ben McLemore, $3,900
SF1: Rudy Gay, $8,200
SF2: James Ennis, $3,800
PF1: Blake Griffin, $9,400
PF2: Jason Thompson, $4,000
C: DeAndre Jordan, $7,500
Projection: 241, which should be enough to get you into the mix for the upper half of 50-50s tonight
Daily Thoughts, Commentary & Strategy Notes:
- Chalmers is a great start if Wade doesn’t play tonight. If Wade suits up, consider Kirk Hinrich – but really only if Derrick Rose sits out.
- Darren Collison is an attractive PG option tonight as well, but we weren’t able to fit him into the lineup above due to limited options at other positions we felt we needed to start.
- McLemore and Ennis are both major boom or bust types. They can put up < 5 FDP or 20+ on any given night. However, Ennis has been playing really well in extended minutes the last 2 nights… so he may pay off. That’s the kind of risk you need to take with such a thin slate of games… so keep this in mind as you set your strategy. This is one of the key reasons we aren’t spending much of our bankroll on tonight’s games.
- Rudy Gay is a must-start at the position with such a thin SF roster.
- Jason Thompson has been playing very well and should come in close to 20 FDP tonight.
- The one position of depth tonight is Centre, where we have Joakim Noah, Chris Bosh, DeMarcus Cousins and Jordan going. Unfortunately we have to only choose one, so we went with Jordan who should be able to get 30+ FDP with relative ease in his matchup.
- Matt Barnes is another name to consider at SF2 if you prefer him to Ennis… but keep in mind the max of 4 players per team limit that FanDuel has. You’ll have to make a change elsewhere.
A couple other routes you may want to think about going if you don’t like the hero lineup:
Rose, Collison, Butler, Redick, Gay, Ennis, Griffin, Thompson, Jordan ($59,200)
Collison, Chalmers, Butler, Redick, Gay, Ennis, Griffin, Thompson, Cousins ($59,600)
Credit to www.fantasycruncher.com for their great (and free!) lineup construction and analysis tools that help make looking at all your options an absolute breeze.
As always – we want to hear from you. What players are must-starts for you tonight? Who are you avoiding?
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